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Must Know

Israelis vote in first election since Oct. 7 attack, with Netanyahu's coalition polling short of a majority

Ongoing · day 5 ↗

According to an official and a person briefed on the matter, Netanyahu pushed for an attack on Iran ahead of the election, Israel's military chief resisted, and Netanyahu then pressed for a separate action short of an overt strike. On the eve of the vote, Netanyahu touted Donald Trump's endorsement and suggested the two leaders could restart their war against Iran if he wins. Israelis began voting on Tuesday, with turnout reaching 16.7% four hours after polls opened.

Why it matters

Many observers expect neither bloc to reach a majority, so the vote may start weeks or months of coalition bargaining rather than settle who governs, while Netanyahu's closing claims about Iran leave the question of renewed war unresolved.

How reporting varies

Reuters: Reports Netanyahu touted Donald Trump's endorsement on the eve of the vote and suggested the two could restart the war on Iran.

NYT World: Reports, citing an official and another person briefed on the matter, that Netanyahu pushed for an attack on Iran before the vote and that Israel's military chief resisted.

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Egypt's parliament authorises military support for Saudi Arabia as Houthi attacks continue

Ongoing · day 2 ↗

The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said Tuesday it intercepted and destroyed ballistic missiles and drones launched by the Houthis toward two regions of Saudi Arabia. Senior officials from Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan held talks in Tehran on Monday aimed at preventing renewed fighting in the Middle East, and Tehran described the discussions as "very good." The Tehran talks were the first high-level contact between Iran and the three countries that signed the Mecca mutual defense pact in August, since a war that began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.

Why it matters

Cairo is pledging forces while saying they will only defend, a line that may be hard to hold if Houthi strikes keep landing, and it widens a Yemen conflict that is already grounding flights across Saudi Arabia.

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Anthropic files for Nasdaq IPO, reporting $80.7bn first-half loss on $16.3bn revenue

Anthropic publicly filed on Monday to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker "ANT", reporting $16.3bn in first-half revenue and a net loss of more than $80.7bn, against a $13bn loss a year earlier. The 335-page filing warns AI could pose "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity". It has not set a share count, price range or listing date, though CBC says a debut is expected next month. Tech stocks rose in the US and Asia after the filing.

Why it matters

The filing asks public investors to fund a company whose losses far exceed its revenue, while its own risk section says its core product could pose existential risks. Its valuation is also reportedly set to rise from $965bn privately to $1.5tn or more.

How reporting varies

CBC News: Quotes an analyst who says little of the CEO's public warnings about AI risk appears in the prospectus, calling most risks standard legal disclosures.

BBC World: Stresses the company's existential-risk warning and calls the listing a test case for the technology as the first fully AI-focused company to go public.

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Russia and Ukraine begin Oleshky truce for aid and evacuation as strikes on Kyiv go on

A limited ceasefire took effect early Tuesday in Oleshky, a Russian-occupied city in Ukraine's Kherson region, to allow aid in and civilians out. The White House says First Lady Melania Trump brokered it; Russia's defence ministry said its forces stopped firing at 04:00 Moscow time. The BBC reports an evacuation is planned for Friday and that Ukraine estimates about 6,000 people, including 200 children, remain. Ukraine's general staff said the pause covers only the humanitarian operation. Russia struck Kyiv on Monday evening, killing at least one person and injuring 10, officials said.

Why it matters

Oleshky is mined and cut off by the Dnipro and Russian lines, so the truce has to hold long enough for demining as well as aid convoys, and residents told the BBC they fear shooting could resume during the evacuation and Ukraine would be blamed.

How reporting varies

BBC World: Centres on residents' accounts of hunger and doubt that the truce will hold. It notes that reports of compliance are hard to verify because communications are patchy.

Der Spiegel: Quotes Ukraine's general staff saying the pause applies only to the aid operation. Reports that the Kyiv strike damaged the South Bridge over the Dnipro, halting rail traffic.

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Should Know

Jordan strikes southern Syria after church attack; Damascus says it was not consulted

Ongoing · day 3 ↗

Jordan's military said its air force struck militant hideouts in southern Syria on Monday in retaliation for the church attack, after determining the attackers were linked to terrorist groups. Jordan's Government Communication Minister said the airstrikes on southern Syria on Monday evening killed more than 20 Islamic State militants. Syrian officials said the Jordanian strikes were not coordinated with Damascus, and Damascus closed the main border crossing with Jordan.

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Bolsonaro's party accepts Lula's win and Flávio drops annulment bid, as Trump calls vote 'rigged'

Ongoing · day 7 ↗

Lula won more than 64 million votes, defeating Flavio Bolsonaro by over four million, according to Reuters-style coverage of the result. Bolsonaro's Liberal Party recognized Lula's win, but with a reservation, and opposed Flavio Bolsonaro's plan to have the entire election annulled. Flavio Bolsonaro backed off his election challenge and said he will now seek to have Lula's ticket disqualified instead.

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Rubio says Venezuela's electoral system must be replaced before a vote, as Machado returns home

Ongoing · day 2 ↗

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Monday that Venezuela's electoral infrastructure was designed to rig elections and must be quickly replaced before a valid election can be held. Opposition leader María Corina Machado is now back in Venezuela and must balance her supporters' expectations with the Trump administration's position. Machado is seeking new elections while trying to avoid offending the Trump administration and asserting her own leadership.

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U.N. panel says Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy grid aimed to make civilians suffer, a crime against humanity

U.N. investigators said Russian assaults on Ukrainian infrastructure cut off heat and power on bitterly cold winter days. They concluded that civilian suffering was the goal and that the attacks amounted to a crime against humanity.

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Drone strike on Nyala market kills at least 21 as RSF drones black out power across Sudan

A drone strike on a market in Nyala, the Rapid Support Forces' de facto capital in Darfur, killed at least 21 people and injured more than 40 on Monday evening, AFP reported, citing a medic and witnesses. Separately, RSF drones hit power substations in four army-held states on Monday, and another strike on Tuesday cut power across parts of Khartoum and Gezira. The US, the EU and 30 other countries warned of famine risk and urged the warring sides to lift limits on aid.

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Microsoft offers voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees, a quarter of its workforce

Microsoft said Monday it is offering voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees in the US, UK, Canada and India, to contain costs as it funds heavy AI spending. Eligibility is limited to staff at level 70 and below, and some units, including sales, are excluded. The offer follows an April retirement program and July Xbox job cuts, and Microsoft's quarterly results are due Wednesday. A spokesperson said AI is not driving the buyout programs.

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UK charges two men under National Security Act over RAF Fairford incident, one with aiding Iranian intelligence

British prosecutors charged Mohmed Abdulkarim, 24, with conduct likely to materially assist a foreign intelligence service, and Nouman Essghir, 24, with entering a prohibited place for a purpose prejudicial to the UK. Police said they believe the country Abdulkarim was assisting was Iran. Both were due in court on Tuesday over the Sept. 27 incident at the Gloucestershire base, which US bombers had used for strikes on Iran. Six other men were arrested and released on bail as investigations continue.

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  • Al Jazeera — Backs: Abdulkarim, 24, charged with conduct likely to assist foreign intelligence service; Essghir, 24, charged with entering prohibited place; Police believe country assisted was Iran; Sept. 27 incident; US bombers used base for Iran strikes; Six other men arrested and bailed
  • NYT World — Backs: Abdulkarim, 24, charged with conduct likely to assist foreign intelligence service; Police believe country assisted was Iran; Sept. 27 incident; US bombers used base for Iran strikes

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Attackers kill at least 60 Orthodox Christians in two attacks in Ethiopia's Oromia region

At least 60 people were killed in two attacks in Oromia on Oct. 20 and 24, the Ethiopian Orthodox Church's holy synod said. Fourteen died in Merti district and 46 in Shirka district, both in the Arsi Zone; more than 20 were seriously hurt and 20 homes burned. No group has claimed responsibility. A local official reportedly blamed a new rebel alliance that includes the Oromo Liberation Army, which has denied attacking civilians, and the regional government pledged to pursue those responsible.

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  • Al Jazeera — Backs: At least 60 killed in attacks on Oct. 20 and 24; 14 in Merti and 46 in Shirka, in Arsi Zone; More than 20 seriously hurt; 20 homes burned; No claim of responsibility; official blamed rebel alliance including OLA; Regional government pledged to pursue those responsible

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EU Commission proposes giving Frontex deportation powers and a near-€2bn budget

The European Commission is due to present a reform on Tuesday that would expand the border agency Frontex's powers over returning irregular migrants, according to Clarín and the Financial Times. Clarín reports the plan would lift its annual budget from €1.206bn to almost €2bn for 2028-2034 and raise staff more than tenfold to 30,000. Frontex took part in just over 63,000 of the 139,270 deportations from EU states in 2025; national authorities would still decide who is deported.

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OpenAI says its AI models made three discoveries in maths, computer science and physics

OpenAI announced on Monday that its models proved the local smoothing conjecture in harmonic analysis in every spatial dimension, disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis in complexity theory, and produced an existence proof for certain quantum field theories including quantum chromodynamics. The claims have not been independently verified. Outside expert groups, which OpenAI calls "shepherds", will examine the results, and the maths and computer science materials were made public at once while the physics release is deferred. A math professor who works in the field, Alex Iosevich, called the conjecture result a "historic development". A panel of maths advisers OpenAI assembled reportedly advised a day earlier against giving chosen people early access to AI output.

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  • Al Jazeera — Backs: Announced Monday: local smoothing conjecture proved in every dimension; Exponential Time Hypothesis disproved; Existence proof for quantum field theories including QCD; Outside expert 'shepherds' will examine results; Maths and CS materials public at once; physics deferred; Iosevich called result a 'historic development'
  • The Verge — Backs: Announced Monday: local smoothing conjecture proved in every dimension; Exponential Time Hypothesis disproved; Existence proof for quantum field theories including QCD; Outside expert 'shepherds' will examine results; Maths and CS materials public at once; physics deferred; Maths advisers advised a day earlier against early access for chosen people

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Xi opens four-day Communist Party plenum focused on discipline and loyalty

China's leaders began a closed-door fifth plenum of the Communist Party Central Committee on Monday. Xi Jinping gave a work report and spoke on a draft decision on "full and rigorous party self-governance," according to Xinhua. The meeting comes about a year before Xi is widely expected to secure a fourth term, and the New York Times reports he has complained that officials cannot be trusted. Analysts quoted by NPR say the anti-corruption drive is not winding down and now also targets underperforming cadres.

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