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Iran-Oman deal on Hormuz takes shape, but shipping industry says it won't work

Ongoing · day 44

Trump said he thinks the war with Iran will end 'pretty soon' and publicly acknowledged that U.S. armed forces are experiencing issues with supplies of some weapons. Iran's parliament is reviewing a preliminary bill that would bar U.S., Israeli, and other 'hostile' vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz and charge other ships a toll, which the Trump administration has rejected. Senior Iranian officials confirmed that any Iran-Oman Hormuz deal will not fully reopen the strait, causing oil prices to jump on the news.

Why it matters

Iran's parliament is simultaneously reviewing a bill to bar US and Israeli ships entirely — meaning that if the civilian Oman deal collapses over practicalities, hard-liners have a ready legislative vehicle to impose a more aggressive chokehold on the strait, leaving the world's most important oil transit route in prolonged limbo rather than moving toward a durable reopening.

How reporting varies

Reuters / Al Monitor: Focuses on Trump's optimism that the war will end 'pretty soon' and frames the Oman talks as a genuine diplomatic opening.

Haaretz / Wall Street Journal: Emphasises Iranian hard-liners' growing clout and the risk they will undermine any deal; notes Iran's warning to Gulf states to pressure the US.

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14-year-old kills at least seven at Bangkok-area school before turning gun on himself

A 14-year-old student at Debsirin Nonthaburi School on the northwestern outskirts of Bangkok killed both his grandparents at their home and then opened fire at the school on Friday, killing at least six others — including teachers and students — before shooting himself, Thai police said. The gunman fired at least 26 bullets and was found with 34 additional rounds; the weapon had belonged to his grandfather. Thailand's prime minister said the suspect appeared to have planned the attack and was under stress.

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Trump imposes 15% tariff and price floors on polysilicon to challenge China's chip dominance

President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 15% tariff and minimum import prices on polysilicon and related products, effective December, citing a national security review. Trump said the US share of global polysilicon production has fallen from about 50% in 2005 to less than 2% in 2024, with China holding a near-monopoly. Beijing said the move 'seriously disrupts' trade and announced countermeasures including tighter drone export controls and a national security review of imported printers.

Why it matters

Polysilicon underpins both semiconductors and solar panels, so the tariff simultaneously tightens US-China competition in AI chip supply chains and raises the cost of solar energy inputs at home — squeezing two sectors the US most needs to strengthen to reduce strategic dependence on Chinese manufacturing.

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Europe heatwave breaks records in Slovakia and Austria as nuclear plants throttle back

Slovakia recorded a national temperature record of 42.2°C at Dolne Plachtince on Thursday and Austria set an all-time high of 41.2°C near the Slovak border, as a prolonged heatwave gripped central and eastern Europe. Hungary's sole nuclear plant, which normally supplies about half the country's electricity, is running at roughly 10% of capacity due to low Danube water levels; Slovakia's main nuclear plant is at 80%. Italy placed all 27 major cities under the highest heat alert simultaneously for the first time this year, and Poland shut two thermal power stations.

Why it matters

When extreme heat peaks demand at the same time that low river levels cut nuclear cooling capacity — as is happening now in Hungary and Slovakia — the two failures reinforce each other into a power-supply crisis that hits the elderly and sick hardest, and the same drought drying the Danube is a direct consequence of the recurring heatwaves, creating a self-amplifying cycle that Europe's electricity grid was not designed to handle.

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Should Know

DRC Ebola surpasses 4,000 cases; Africa CDC to deploy vaccine designed for a different strain

Ongoing · day 3

The DR Congo Ebola death toll has surpassed 1,800, according to Africa CDC, as the outbreak continues to spread rapidly. DR Congo's confirmed Ebola cases have surpassed 4,000 for the first time in the current outbreak, according to government data. Africa CDC's head announced plans to deploy a vaccine developed for a previous Ebola strain in the current DRC outbreak, citing test data indicating a potentially life-saving level of protection.

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Houthis kill at least 58 Yemeni troops — deadliest day since 2022 — as strike wounds Saudi civilians

Yemen's Houthis killed at least 58 Saudi-backed government troops in ballistic missile and drone strikes on military camps in Marib and Hadramawt provinces on Thursday, in what a military official called the deadliest day of the Yemen civil war in four years. A separate Houthi attack wounded 11 civilians — including a four-year-old child — in Saudi Arabia's southern Najran region. A senior Saudi official warned that intelligence points to imminent coordinated attacks from Houthi and Iraqi militia forces on Saudi energy infrastructure, ports and airports.

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Bomb on minibus kills two in Damascus suburb as Syria's security gap widens

A bomb placed inside a minibus killed two people and wounded at least 13 in the predominantly Druze suburb of Jaramana on the outskirts of Damascus on Thursday, Syrian officials said; no group claimed responsibility. The attack is the latest in a series in the Damascus area since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024, including a café bombing that killed 10 in central Damascus and an attack on a Damascus church in June 2025 that killed 25.

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New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay $567m in landmark child safety ruling, bringing case total to $942m

A New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay $567 million — finding the company's platforms created a public nuisance by harming children — in the second phase of a landmark trial; combined with a $375 million jury award from March, Meta faces $942 million in the case. The judge ordered platform changes including monthly time limits on teen use and restrictions on adult contact with minors, enforceable for five years. Meta said it will appeal.

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Russia hits Ukrainian grain ports as Ukraine strikes oil refineries 1,300km inside Russia; minister warns of global hunger risk

Ongoing · day 37

Ukraine struck two oil refineries deep inside Russian territory, with President Zelensky saying the strikes aim to limit revenues Russia 'used to finance' its war. Wildberries reported another drone attack on a facility in the Urals region, extending Ukraine's campaign against the Russian e-commerce giant's warehouse network. Ukrainian attacks on Wildberries are causing significant economic harm to small Russian businesses dependent on the platform, with one Moscow pick-up point owner describing his operation going from profitable to loss-making in three weeks.

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US intelligence assessment finds Putin may probe NATO with a limited military incursion

A new US intelligence assessment finds that Vladimir Putin could test NATO's resolve through a limited military incursion, updating previous forecasts that Russia would not provoke the alliance during the Ukraine war.

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Typhoon Dolphin forces evacuation of 260,000 in Japan as Toyota halts nine factories

Japanese authorities ordered nearly 260,000 residents in Kagoshima and Okinawa prefectures to evacuate as Typhoon Dolphin — a Category 1 storm with maximum sustained winds of 144 kph and gusts reaching 198 kph — approached the island chain between Kyushu and Okinawa on Friday. More than 500 flights were cancelled and Toyota suspended work at nine factories. The typhoon is also bringing strong winds to Kumamoto prefecture, where 6,700 residents remain in evacuation centres from last week's magnitude 7.1 earthquake.

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UN warns of genocide-level risk in Sudan's el-Obeid as drone strikes hit homes, markets and funerals

Ongoing · day 2

UN human rights chief Volker Türk has issued a 'red alert' over Sudan's besieged city of el-Obeid, warning that the Rapid Support Forces are replicating the tactics used in el-Fasher, where UN investigators found the killing of an estimated 6,000 civilians bore 'the hallmarks of genocide'. Residents describe up to 40 drones in the sky at a time, striking indiscriminately; North Kordofan has recorded the highest number of drone attacks of any Sudanese region in 2026. A cholera outbreak is spreading through the city as drone strikes damage medical facilities.

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Colombia's new far-right president inaugurated in Cali; ELN prepares to resume war

Abelardo De la Espriella was sworn in as Colombia's president in Cali on Friday — the first inauguration held outside Bogotá — succeeding Gustavo Petro, who refuses to recognise De la Espriella's election and has pledged to lead 'civil disobedience'. De la Espriella has vowed to end peace talks with the ELN guerrilla group and launch a military offensive; ELN commanders said they are prepared to attack 'in cities, in the countryside, wherever' if ordered. The US government is fast-tracking a military partnership with the new administration to target drug traffickers.

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Stanford researchers use AI to create 16 functional viruses not found in nature

Researchers at Stanford University and the Broad Institute used large genome AI models — trained on DNA sequences — to generate thousands of synthetic viral genomes, of which 16 proved viable in laboratory tests, according to findings published in the journal Science. The AI-designed viruses were variants of a bacteriophage that infects E. coli, and in tests outperformed natural versions at killing the bacteria. Experts called the results promising for treatments targeting antibiotic-resistant infections but warned the same methods could be misused to design pathogens that target vertebrates.

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Japan's defence white paper frames drones and AI as central to future warfare, signalling asymmetric shift against China

Japan's latest defence white paper, a 610-page document released Tuesday, frames autonomous systems, AI and unmanned platforms not just as emerging capabilities but as integral to how Japan expects future conflicts to be fought, analysts said. Experts said Tokyo is drawing lessons from Ukraine — that a smaller force can frustrate a much larger adversary through rapid technological innovation and cheaper platforms — rather than competing with China's military platform-for-platform.

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